After a delayed opening the Elizabeth line welcomed commuters for the first time on May 24. One of the aims of opening the new east-west London train line is to ease congestion on some Tube lines, mainly the Central and Jubilee lines, with the arrival of the Crossrail project giving passengers an extra option for their journeys.
Modelling created for when the Elizabeth line was expected to open in 2018, shows in its first full year the train line is expected to welcome 68.7 million passengers, which will result in a drop in numbers on some Tube lines. As the line becomes more established it is also expected that some lines will see an increase in travellers using new routes.
Here are the lines which are expected to be impacted and by how much. During the first year of the Elizabeth line opening the Jubilee line is expected to see a decrease of 12.3 million passengers. This is the highest figure with Southeastern trains in second with 11.2 million fewer passengers and 10.9 million fewer using the DLR. Heathrow Connect is the only line predicted to see an increase, with 6.3 million more travellers using the line in the first full year.
Read more: Tube map update with Elizabeth line added is ‘garbage’ slams design expert
(Image: TfL / London Assembly)
In 2023 it is predicted that the Elizabeth line will have 95.7 million passengers, easing the pressure on older lines such as the Central line which is expected to see a decrease of 18 million passengers, the highest figure for the Tube that year. London bus routes are expected to lose 22 million people to the Elizabeth line in 2023.
Three years from now, in 2025, the Elizabeth line should be operating at a full service and it has been predicted that the Northern line will see a steady increase in passengers down to the nature of travel permitted by the expansion, with 5.2 million more people expected to make use of the Northern line.
Commuters in the North East will be able to travel down the Northern line and connect to the Elizabeth line (at say Tottenham Court Road or Liverpool Street) and then travel East or West along the Elizabeth line at ease. When operating at full capacity in 2025, it is estimated that the Elizabeth line will host some 215.1 million people. With TFL operating at 73 per cent compared to 86 per cent in 2023.
Want more from MyLondon? Sign up to our daily newsletters for all the latest and greatest from across London here.